Qatar World Cup 2022 odds: Brazil, France, Argentina favored after final international break

Qatar World Cup 2022 odds: Brazil, France, Argentina favored after final international break

The next time many national teams participating in the 2022 take the pitch for an official match, it will be in Qatar. This past international window was the last until Qatar and Ecuador kick off the tournament on Nov. 20, less than two months away.

The draw is fully set, the schedule is known and so are the favorites. Brazil has been the tournament favorite since the draw came out back in April. Meanwhile, Argentina has become a favorite thanks to a 35-match unbeaten streak. England, which recently got relegated from League A in the UEFA Nations League, was on the same as odds as France at +550 when the draw came out, but is now behind the top three at +700.

South Africa in 2010 is the only World Cup host to fail to make it out of the group stage. Qatar has been creative in its scheduling to prepare for the World Cup, participating in the Gold Cup last year and taking on club teams in friendlies. Qatar was knocked out in the semifinals of both the Gold Cup and the Arab Cup in 2021 and won the Asian Cup in 2019 so this team has some quality results. However, the hosts are still viewed as the longshot in Group A.

The Netherlands is heavily favored, and Senegal is given an edge to advance ahead of Ecuador. The Dutch went 5-0-1 in the UEFA Nations League, beating Belgium twice and winning a group that featured four World Cup teams, also including Wales and Poland.

Senegal made it out of the group stage in 2002 and is only a year removed from its first-ever Africa Cup of Nations title.

The English and the Americans are favored to advance out of Group B, but the fans of those national teams might be approaching panic mode. The Three Lions went 0-3-3 in the UEFA Nations League and haven’t won since March. The 4-0 home loss to Hungary may have been the low point, but at -3000, England has the shortest odds of advancing to the group stage in the tournament.

Meanwhile, the United States scored one goal in its last five matches, which was a 1-1 draw at El Salvador. This most recent window featured a 2-0 loss to Japan and a scoreless draw against Saudi Arabia. Those are both World Cup opponents, but the U.S. will have to play better in Qatar. The recent slump hasn’t affected the Americans’ odds of advancing out of the group, but they were 80-to-1 to win the tournament when the draw came out and are now 100-to-1.

With the top two teams in the odds coming in on a downswing, Wales and Iran will think they have a chance. This is Wales’ first World Cup since a 1958 quarterfinal appearance. Iran has never made it out of the group stage and has just two wins in World Cup play, one of which came against the Americans in 1998.

This is the best Argentina has looked in years. is scoring goals in bunches, and the team around him is playing as a complete, well-organized squad. Argentina won Copa America last year and went undefeated in World Cup qualifying. La Albiceleste hasn’t lost since June of 2019 and can break Italy’s record for most matches unbeaten (37) in the group stage.

Mexico is another nation in panic mode with El Tri laboring through many of its qualifying matches. The 3-2 loss to Colombia on Tuesday wasn’t the best note to end the window on either. Mexico led 2-0 at halftime before losing. Poland hasn’t made it out of the group stage since 1986, and the opening match against Mexico likely decides which team goes through.

On paper and in the odds, this looks like a straightforward group. France is the clear favorite and Denmark is solidly second. However, the last three defending World Cup champions have gone out in the group stage (Italy in 2010, Spain in 2014 and Germany in 2018). France had an unimpressive run in the Nations League, picking up just one win in six matches and losing to Denmark twice.

Tunisia has never made it out of the group stage. Australia did once in 2006 but went winless in 2014 and 2018.

No other group’s odds are so heavily skewed towards two teams. Spain and Germany are heavily favored to advance, but as noted above, both have recent group stage failures.

Spain is headed back to the Nations League semifinals but did lose at home to Switzerland last window. The Germans have one win in their past seven matches, with five draws in that stretch.

Japan doesn’t have the history of those two nations but has made it out of the group stage in three of the past five World Cups. Its roster may lack truly big name players, but it is littered with players who are in Europe’s top leagues.

Costa Rica isn’t the team it was from the 2014 quarterfinal run. Los Ticos had to qualify through the intercontinental playoff and face the longest odds of the tournament to qualify for the Round of 16.

Can Belgium win something with this generation or has the window closed? Belgium went out in the semifinals to eventual champion France last World Cup and went out in the quarterfinals to eventual champion Italy in the last Euro. Any team with , and has a chance (if they stay healthy).

Last tournament’s runner-up Croatia has an older core than it did four years ago, but the Croatians won a Nations League group that included Denmark and France (if you want to put stock in the Nations League).

It would be a minor surprise if Morocco or Canada advance ahead of either of the European nations. Morocco advanced out of the group stage once, in 1986. Canada went goalless in three losses in its only other appearance in that same year. In this most recent window, Canada beat Qatar 2-0, but lost to Uruguay by the same score in two friendlies in Europe.

Brazil is sucking up most of the oxygen in this group as the tournament favorite, but Serbia and Switzerland are viewed as nearly even in the odds. The last time the Seleção failed to advance out of the first group stage was 1966 when there were only 16 teams in the tournament. Brazil has made it to at least the quarterfinals in seven straight World Cups.

This group isn’t providing much variety. Brazil, Switzerland and Serbia were in Group E together in 2018. Brazil won that group with a 2-0-1 record and Switzerland advanced ahead of Serbia. The Swiss picked up an impressive win in Spain on Saturday.

Cameroon went 0-3 in both 2010 and 2014 and hasn’t advanced since a quarterfinal run in 1990. The Indomitable Lions lost to Uzbekistan and South Korea this past window.

In what is likely ’s last chance to win a World Cup, Portugal is a favorite, albeit not a significant one, to win Group H. The last time Portugal won its group was in 2006, when it made the semifinals.

Uruguay has made it to the knockout stage in three straight World Cups and has and in the attack, bringing a former and current Liverpool star together.

Ghana earned some respect for a Round of 16 appearance in 2006 and a quarterfinal run in 2010, but went winless in 2014 and didn’t qualify in 2018. The Black Stars’ only wins in 2022 came against Nicaragua and Madagascar.

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